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2026 Guinness Six Nations preview: England v Wales

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England’s Henry Pollock celebrates scoring a try with teammates during the 2025 Guinness Six Nations Championship Round 5 game between Wales and England in the Principality Stadium, Cardiff, Wales, Saturday, March 15, 2025 (Photo by Ryan Byrne / Inpho)

When England welcome Wales to Allianz Stadium on Saturday afternoon, the two old rivals will meet in circumstances that could scarcely be more contrasting. Steve Borthwick’s men arrive on an 11-match winning streak, their longest run since the heady days of 2015-17. Wales, under new head coach Steve Tandy, have lost their last 11 Six Nations matches and have not won in the championship since beating Italy in Rome almost three years ago.

The bookmakers have installed England as overwhelming favourites — odds as short as 1/66 in some quarters — with Wales given just a 4% chance of victory. Yet this fixture has a habit of confounding expectations. As Jamie George noted this week: “It’s hostile. There’s confrontation. They are tough games.”

A fixture that transcends form

England versus Wales is never merely about the table. Whether a Grand Slam is on the line or pride is at stake, this clash has produced unforgettable moments throughout its long history — from Scott Gibbs’ iconic try in 1999 to England’s stirring last-minute victory in 2017.

The recent historical record heavily favours England. They have won ten of their last 12 Six Nations meetings with Wales, including last year’s 68-14 demolition in Cardiff — their biggest ever championship victory over the Welsh. Yet before that emphatic triumph, the fixture had been remarkably tight: Wales’ last four visits to England, including a 2023 World Cup warm-up, were decided by fewer than three points on average.

At Allianz Stadium, England have won 11 of their 13 home Six Nations fixtures against Wales since 2000, with Welsh victories coming only in 2008 and 2012, both by seven points. The last five meetings at Twickenham have all been decided by six points or fewer — until last year’s anomaly, that is.

Contrasting fortunes

The two nations enter 2026 at vastly different points in their respective trajectories. England, under Borthwick, have been building steadily since their nadir of seven consecutive defeats in 2024. Their 11-match winning streak reflects a team playing with confidence and, crucially, one that has learned how to close out tight contests.

The statistics from last year’s championship underline England’s dominance. They recorded the best scrum success rate (97%), the highest dominant carry rate (38%), tackle evasion (25%) and gainline success (65%) of any team, subsequently gaining more metres per carry than any other side (4.2). Wales, by contrast, averaged the fewest metres per carry (2.8).

Wales have won just two of their past 23 Tests overall, with 21 defeats including an unprecedented 18-match losing streak. Their campaign has been scarred by record home losses against England (68-14), Argentina (52-28) and South Africa (73-0). The wooden spoon has been their lot for two consecutive seasons.

“Outside of it, why would people give us a chance, realistically?” Tandy admitted this week. “You look at the form of both teams, you probably wouldn’t.”

England’s leadership density

For the first time since the break-up of England’s 2003 World Cup-winning side, Borthwick possesses a comparable group of proven leaders. The matchday 23 includes eight players who have captained either England or their clubs regularly: Jamie George, Maro Itoje, Ellis Genge, George Ford, Tom Curry, Ollie Chessum, Ben Spencer and Fraser Dingwall.

Itoje’s presence on the bench, following his attendance at his mother Florence’s funeral in Nigeria, ends his remarkable run of playing every minute of 30 consecutive Six Nations matches. George steps in as captain, with Genge and Ford as vice-captains, though Itoje will resume leadership duties upon entering the field.

“We’re very fortunate to have such strength of leadership,” said Borthwick. “I’ve talked in the past about building a density of leadership and that’s what we’re developing here.”

Wales’ slim hopes

If Wales are to spring an upset, their most potent weapons reside in the back three. Louis Rees-Zammit returns to the Six Nations for the first time since 2023 following his NFL adventure, now deployed at full-back where he has flourished for Bristol Bears. The 25-year-old is 6kg heavier, slightly quicker and, he believes, more explosive through contact.

“Zammo is threatening and if there is a kick that is too long then something can happen,” said Tandy. “I am excited by his aerial work as well. As much as he is quick, he is a big man.”

Tomos Williams, the Gloucester scrum-half with 67 caps, is widely regarded as one of the classiest number nines in the game. His running threat could cause England problems if Wales can establish any kind of platform. Meanwhile, the experienced Tomas Francis returns to the bench for his first Wales appearance since the 2023 World Cup — the only member of the playing squad who has beaten England at Twickenham, during the famous 2015 World Cup victory.

Team news

England: Freddie Steward; Tom Roebuck, Tommy Freeman, Fraser Dingwall, Henry Arundell; George Ford, Alex Mitchell; Ellis Genge, Jamie George (capt), Joe Heyes; Alex Coles, Ollie Chessum; Guy Pepper, Sam Underhill, Ben Earl.
Replacements: Luke Cowan-Dickie, Bevan Rodd, Trevor Davison, Maro Itoje, Tom Curry, Henry Pollock, Ben Spencer, Marcus Smith.

Wales: Louis Rees-Zammit; Ellis Mee, Eddie James, Ben Thomas, Josh Adams; Dan Edwards, Tomos Williams; Nicky Smith, Dewi Lake (capt), Archie Griffin; Dafydd Jenkins, Adam Beard; Alex Mann, Josh Macleod, Aaron Wainwright.
Replacements: Liam Belcher, Rhys Carre, Tomas Francis, Ben Carter, Taine Plumtree, Harri Deaves, Kieran Hardy, Mason Grady.

Key players to watch

England: Henry Arundell — An important afternoon awaits the Bath winger, who has been given a precious opportunity to prove he is a genuine starting option rather than an X-factor impact player off the bench. Since returning from Racing 92, Arundell has worked on his defence and aerial ability with the aim of rounding his game. With Wales expected to launch a barrage of kicks, his improvement in the air will be tested as he makes his first start since the 2023 World Cup.

Wales: Louis Rees-Zammit — The prodigal son returns to Six Nations action after his NFL adventure, now positioned at full-back where counter-attacking opportunities will present themselves. His speed remains his greatest asset — he ranks among the three fastest players in the Premiership alongside Adam Radwan and Arundell — but the added bulk from his American football training makes him more potent through contact. “I think my agility is a lot better,” he said. “Now I feel like when I see half a gap I can properly go into it.”

England: Ben Earl — The Saracens number eight has become one of the most complete back-rowers in world rugby. His work rate is extraordinary, consistently topping tackle counts while also providing a dynamic carrying threat. Earl was among the four England players to win five or more turnovers in last year’s championship, and his ability to link play between forwards and backs gives England an additional playmaking option. Against a Wales side likely to kick frequently, his excellence at the breakdown will be crucial in generating quick ball for counterattacks.

Wales: Dafydd Jenkins — The Exeter Chiefs lock, still only 22, carries the weight of Welsh hopes in the engine room. His 26 caps belie his age, and Jenkins has developed into a genuine lineout operator capable of disrupting opposition ball. With Adam Beard alongside him, Wales possess an experienced second-row combination that must front up physically if they are to have any chance. Jenkins’ leadership and set-piece work will be vital in giving Wales the platform to compete.

Where the battle will be won

The aerial contest: Borthwick has challenged his side to dominate the air, predicting Wales will launch upwards of 50 contestable kicks. Both teams have selected for this battle — England with Freddie Steward’s aerial prowess at full-back, Wales with Rees-Zammit’s size and pace. Whoever wins the “scraps” and “crumbs” from these aerial duels will likely control the match.

The set-piece: England recorded the best scrum success rate in last year’s championship (97%), winning the most scrum penalties of any team (10). Wales had the second-best lineout success rate (94%) and won a tournament-high 14% of opposition lineouts. If Wales can disrupt England’s set-piece, they may gain a foothold. If they cannot, it could be a long afternoon.

The bench: Both coaches have opted for 6-2 forward splits. England’s “Bomb Squad” — featuring Itoje, Tom Curry, Henry Pollock and Luke Cowan-Dickie — represents twice as many benched British & Irish Lions as there were Welshmen in the entire original Lions squad. When Borthwick unleashes this quartet together, Wales’ resistance may crumble.

Did you know?

  • Wales have not won at Allianz Stadium in the Six Nations since 2012
  • England have won five of the last six meetings between the sides
  • This fixture has produced more penalties than any other Six Nations pairing since 2015
  • Maro Itoje needs just one more turnover to overtake Brian O’Driscoll as the player with the most in championship history (53)
  • Henry Pollock scored twice on his England debut in this fixture last year

The verdict

This feels like a crossroads moment for both nations. England are targeting a first title since 2020 and a first Grand Slam in a decade, with Borthwick urging supporters to “flood across the Channel” for a potential decider in Paris on Super Saturday. Tommy Freeman captured the mood: “We will have a bit of swagger about us.”

Wales, meanwhile, must prove that pride and passion can still count for something even when results have deserted them. Tandy has fond memories of Twickenham from his time as Scotland defence coach, having been part of famous Six Nations victories in 2021 and 2023. “Winning at Twickenham, at such an iconic stadium, is incredible,” he recalled.

Yet replicating that as Wales coach will require something close to a miracle. Former England coach Eddie Jones warned bluntly: “It could get a bit ugly. I think England, first game at Twickenham, they’ll come out full of energy, full of intent physically. I think they’ll be probably too good for Wales.”

If Wales can stay in the contest early, disrupt England’s rhythm and cling on until the final quarter, this fixture’s history suggests a tight finish remains possible. More likely, however, England’s superior firepower — particularly from their formidable bench — will tell. George’s assessment of Wales having a “free swing” may be accurate, but the hosts will be determined to ensure that any swing misses its target entirely.

The day a Welsh team turns up in south-west London without passion, pride or attacking intent is the day the Six Nations loses a slice of its soul. That day has not arrived yet. But whether heart alone can bridge the yawning chasm in quality between these sides remains rugby’s most romantic question.

Match officials

Referee: Nika Amashukeli (Georgian Rugby Union)
Assistant Referees: Andrea Piardi (FIR), Pierre Brousset (FFR)
TMO: Brian MacNeice (IRFU)

Kick-off: Saturday 7th February 2026, 4.40pm | Allianz Stadium, Twickenham

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Bielle-Biarrey crowned Six Nations Player of the Championship

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Bielle-Biarrey crowned Six Nations Player of the Championship
France’s Louis Bielle-Biarrey after being Voted 2026 Guinness Men’s Six Nations Player of the Championship in Bordeaux, France, Thursday, April 2, 2026 (Photo by Tom Maher / Inpho)

France’s record-breaking winger Louis Bielle-Biarrey has been named the 2026 Guinness Men’s Six Nations Player of the Championship, becoming only the fourth player in the award’s history to claim the accolade in consecutive years.

The 22-year-old secured 44 per cent of the fan vote in a record ballot that saw 151,525 supporters cast their verdict over a one-week voting period. Ireland centre Stuart McCloskey, Italy’s Tommaso Menoncello and Scotland wing Kyle Steyn were also shortlisted after standout campaigns of their own.

Bielle-Biarrey’s coronation caps a remarkable championship in which he scored nine tries across five matches, breaking his own record of eight set in 2025. That tally included a stunning four-try haul in the decisive final-round victory over England at the Stade de France, a performance that secured back-to-back titles for Fabien Galthié’s side.

“I’m just really happy, honestly,” Bielle-Biarrey said upon receiving his award in Bordeaux. “It’s yet another reward for the team’s hard work throughout the tournament. We were able to defend our title. Winning the tournament two years in a row is no small feat. We’re very happy to have done it.”

Following in Dupont’s footsteps

The Bordeaux Bègles wing joins an elite group of multiple winners that includes Brian O’Driscoll, Stuart Hogg and his France teammate Antoine Dupont, who achieved the same back-to-back feat in 2022 and 2023. Indeed, over the past five Six Nations editions, only Italy’s Menoncello in 2024 has broken French dominance of the individual award.

The symmetry with Dupont is particularly striking. Both players developed through France’s youth pathways before bursting onto the senior stage, and both have now received the ultimate individual recognition in consecutive campaigns. Galthié acknowledged as much after France’s title-clinching victory.

“He is following in Antoine’s footsteps,” the France head coach said. “The players inspire one another. It’s hard to find the right adjectives to talk about him right now, and last year too. He will surely become the top scorer of the tournament, I think.”

Record upon record

The statistics behind Bielle-Biarrey’s championship defy comprehension. His nine tries represent a single-tournament record for the Six Nations era, surpassing the mark of eight he shared with Cyril Lowe (1914) and Ian Smith (1925) after last year’s campaign.

More remarkably, the winger has now scored in ten consecutive Six Nations matches, another record he holds alone. Only Chris Ashton, with his four tries against Italy in 2011, had previously matched the four-try performance Bielle-Biarrey delivered against England.

With 18 tries in just 14 Six Nations appearances, he is already the highest-scoring French player in the championship’s modern era, having overtaken Damian Penaud despite playing in roughly half the number of fixtures. He sits fifth on the all-time scorers list and, at 22, has O’Driscoll’s record of 26 tries firmly in his sights.

Beyond the try-scoring, his attacking numbers were equally impressive: 311 metres gained, 13 defenders beaten, eight clean breaks and four try assists across the championship.

From Grenoble to greatness

Bielle-Biarrey’s trajectory reads like a rugby fairytale. Born in La Tronche in the Isère department with Réunionese heritage through his mother and Toulon roots through his father, he began playing rugby at five years old in Seyssins, a small commune near Grenoble with a population of just 8,000.

His early career saw him deployed at fly-half before coaches identified his devastating pace and moved him to the wing. That speed, clocked at 38 kilometres per hour when he famously beat former European 100m champion Christophe Lemaitre in a sprint earlier this year, has become his calling card.

His first senior start for Bordeaux Bègles in January 2022, at just 18 years old, was immediately marked by a hat-trick against the Scarlets. By August 2023, he had earned his first cap against Scotland, and within weeks he became the youngest French player to score a try at a Rugby World Cup during the tournament on home soil.

The red scrum cap, given to him by his father at age eight, has since become his trademark, instantly recognisable as he accelerates past defenders.

A championship to remember

Bielle-Biarrey’s award arrives after a Six Nations widely heralded as the greatest edition since the championship expanded to six teams in 2000. A record 111 tries were scored across the tournament, with the title ultimately decided by Thomas Ramos’s penalty in the dying seconds of the final match.

The French public certainly responded. Broadcast across France Télévisions and TF1, the 2026 championship attracted over 35.5 million average viewers throughout the five rounds, with 9.5 million tuning in for the title decider against England.

For Bielle-Biarrey, the individual recognition is secondary to collective success. But in a championship of extraordinary moments, his contribution stood apart.

“My parents signed me up for rugby when I was five years old,” he has previously reflected. “Straight away, I really liked it. It is a childhood dream today to be able to live my passion.”

At 22, with two Player of the Championship awards, a cabinet of try-scoring records and the trajectory to become France’s all-time leading scorer, Louis Bielle-Biarrey is living that dream in spectacular fashion.

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Two former winners in shortlist for Player of Six Nations award

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Two former winners in shortlist for Player of Six Nations award
France's Louis Bielle-Biarrey runs in his side's second try during the 2026 Guinness Six Nations Championship Round 5 game between France and England in Stade de France, Paris, France, Saturday, March 14, 2026 (Photo by Dan Sheridan / Inpho)

The shortlist for the 2026 Guinness Men’s Six Nations Player of the Championship has been announced, with four players recognised for performances that defined what was widely described as one of the most compelling tournaments in recent memory. Louis Bielle-Biarrey (France), Stuart McCloskey (Ireland), Kyle Steyn (Scotland) and Tommaso Menoncello (Italy) make up a quartet selected from those who topped the performance statistics charts and drew the highest share of fan votes in the Team of the Championship poll.

Voting is now open at sixnationsrugby.com and closes on Thursday 26 March at 09:00 GMT.

Key Points

  • Louis Bielle-Biarrey (France) and Tommaso Menoncello (Italy) are the two former winners on the shortlist, having claimed the award in 2025 and 2024 respectively
  • Bielle-Biarrey scored a record nine tries in five matches, breaking his own all-time Championship record set just twelve months earlier
  • Menoncello is nominated for a third successive year, becoming only the third player — alongside Brian O’Driscoll and Antoine Dupont — to achieve three consecutive nominations
  • Ireland’s Stuart McCloskey, 33, leads the tournament’s Oval Insights rankings with a score of 8.6/10, despite not scoring a single try
  • Scotland’s Kyle Steyn equalled the all-time Championship record for defenders beaten, with 26 across the tournament
  • McCloskey would become Ireland’s first winner since Jacob Stockdale in 2018 if he takes the award
  • Steyn’s nomination is the first for a Glasgow Warriors player since 2017
  • The winner is decided entirely by public vote, with fans able to vote at sixnationsrugby.com until 09:00 GMT on Thursday 26 March

Louis Bielle-Biarrey

If there is a frontrunner, it is hard to argue against the 22-year-old Bordeaux-Bègles and France wing. Bielle-Biarrey claimed the Player of the Championship award in 2025 and delivered an encore that left statisticians scrambling for superlatives. His nine tries across five matches broke his own all-time Championship record — he had set the previous mark of eight just twelve months earlier — and makes him the most prolific try-scorer in the history of the competition.

The highlight reel moment of his tournament came against England in a match that immediately entered rugby folklore. Bielle-Biarrey crossed for four tries in the Crunch, becoming only the second player ever to score a quadruple in a single Six Nations match, after Chris Ashton’s effort against Italy in 2011. He also scored in each of France’s five games, an achievement managed by only three other players since the tournament expanded to six nations in 2000.

His numbers elsewhere were just as striking. He led the Championship in clean breaks (19), initial breaks (14) and supported breaks (5), while his 366 metres carried ranked third overall. The Oval Insights algorithm placed him second in its rankings with a score of 8.5 out of 10. His efforts were central to France retaining the Championship title for a second successive year.

Key stats: 9 tries (Championship record), 19 clean breaks (1st), 366 metres carried (3rd), 8.5/10 Oval Insights (2nd)


Stuart McCloskey

At 33, Stuart McCloskey’s 2026 Six Nations campaign reads like a statement of defiance against the passage of time. The Ulster centre was one of only two Irish players — alongside captain Caelan Doris — to play every minute of Ireland’s five matches, and he did so while producing numbers that led not just his team but the entire tournament in several categories.

He did not score a try, yet his fingerprints were on Ireland’s attack at every turn. His six try assists tied for the joint-highest in the Championship, with multiple offloads producing scores for team-mates. He led the tournament in dominant contacts (18, at a remarkable 31% rate), turnovers won among backs (eight, joint-first overall) and tackle attempts among backs (79). His 20 defenders beaten ranked joint-second in the Championship.

The Oval Insights system placed McCloskey first among all players, awarding him 8.6 out of 10. His performances were instrumental in Ireland securing the Triple Crown and finishing as runners-up in the overall standings. Should he win, McCloskey would become Ireland’s first Player of the Championship since Jacob Stockdale in 2018.

Key stats: 6 try assists (joint 1st), 18 dominant contacts (1st), 8 turnovers won (joint 1st), 8.6/10 Oval Insights (1st)


Kyle Steyn

Kyle Steyn’s inclusion in the shortlist may owe more to moments of brilliance than the volume of a Bielle-Biarrey or the relentless consistency of a McCloskey, but few players left as large an impression on individual matches. The 32-year-old Glasgow Warriors winger was awarded Player of the Match twice during the tournament — against England and France — and was at the heart of two results that will be remembered long after the final standings are forgotten.

His 26 defenders beaten across the Championship ranked first in the competition, equalling the all-time record for the category. He scored three tries and covered 316 metres with ball in hand, ranking sixth overall. His Oval Insights score of 8.1 placed him seventh. Scotland’s two standout victories — a thumping win over England and the extraordinary 50-40 defeat of France at Murrayfield — each had Steyn’s footprints running through them.

It would be the first nomination for a Glasgow Warriors player since 2017. Hamish Watson was the last Scotsman to claim the award, in 2021.

Key stats: 26 defenders beaten (1st, joint record), 3 tries, 316 metres (6th), 8.1/10 Oval Insights (7th)


Tommaso Menoncello

At just 23 years old, Tommaso Menoncello is already becoming a fixture on this shortlist. This is his third consecutive nomination, and he arrives having won the award in 2024 before finishing runner-up to Bielle-Biarrey in 2025. His continued presence at the top of the tournament standings speaks to a player who has rapidly established himself as one of the finest centres in world rugby.

This year, Menoncello was central to Italy’s most memorable results — victories over Scotland and England — and was named Player of the Match in the latter. His 14 clean breaks ranked third in the Championship, his 363 metres carried ranked fourth, and his 11 initial breaks placed joint-third. He also matched McCloskey’s joint-second ranking for defenders beaten with 20, and his 36.7% dominant carry rate — 11 dominant carries from 42 attempts — underlined the physical impact he carries into contact.

Only Andrea Masi has previously won the Player of the Championship award as an Italian, making Menoncello’s repeated presence at the summit of the conversation a remarkable achievement for a player still in his early twenties.

Key stats: 14 clean breaks (3rd), 363 metres carried (4th), 20 defenders beaten (joint 2nd), 7.9/10 Oval Insights (8th)


The verdict

On pure statistics, the case for Bielle-Biarrey is compelling — nine tries, a broken record and a Championship winners’ medal make him the obvious choice for many. But with the award decided by public vote, McCloskey’s all-action, selfless game and the passionate Irish fanbase could prove decisive. Steyn’s two Player of the Match awards demonstrate his impact in the biggest moments, while Menoncello’s third successive nomination reinforces just how consistently brilliant he has been.

Fans have until Thursday 26 March at 09:00 GMT to have their say at sixnationsrugby.com.

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Six things we learned from round 5 of the Guinness Six Nations

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Six things we learned from round 5 of the Guinness Six Nations
France’s Antoine Dupont’s lifts the Men's Six Nations Trophy after the 2026 Guinness Six Nations Championship Round 5 game between France and England in Stade de France, Paris, France, Saturday, March 14, 2026 (Photo by Dan Sheridan / Inpho)

Super Saturday 2026 delivered one of the greatest days in Six Nations history. France retained their championship with a last-gasp 48-46 victory over England in a Paris thriller that will be replayed for generations, as Thomas Ramos held his nerve with the final kick to break Irish and English hearts. Earlier in Dublin, Ireland secured their fourth Triple Crown in five years with a commanding 43-21 win over Scotland, while Wales ended 1,099 days of Six Nations misery by beating Italy 31-17 in Cardiff. Louis Bielle-Biarrey scored four tries to take his tournament tally to nine – a new record – while the championship produced 111 tries, the most since Italy joined the competition. England’s seven tries weren’t enough. Ireland’s six tries secured the Triple Crown but not the title. And Wales finally, mercifully, tasted victory again. Here are six things we learned from a finale that had absolutely everything.

France are deserved champions

Forget the script. Tear up the predictions. This wasn’t supposed to happen. England, who had lost four consecutive matches coming into Paris, weren’t meant to score 46 points and seven tries against the defending champions. France weren’t supposed to concede that many points and still win. And yet here we are, trying to process what might just be the greatest Six Nations match ever played. The 48-46 scoreline tells only part of the story of a game that swung violently from one team to the other across 82 breathless minutes. England led 27-17 at half-time despite Ellis Genge’s yellow card and a penalty try for France. They fell behind 38-27 early in the second half as Louis Bielle-Biarrey completed his hat-trick. They stormed back to lead 46-45 with three minutes remaining after Tommy Freeman’s brilliant finish. And then came the final twist. With the clock in the red, Trevor Davison and Maro Itoje were penalised at a ruck, giving Thomas Ramos a long-range penalty from 47 metres to win the championship. The Stade de France held its breath. Ramos, France’s nerveless full-back who had already become his country’s all-time leading points scorer earlier in the tournament, stepped up and bisected the posts. France were champions. England were heartbroken. Ireland, watching in Dublin, saw their title hopes evaporate with that single kick. “We’re very lucky that we have maybe the best kicker around,” said Fabien Galthié afterwards, and nobody could argue. Bielle-Biarrey’s four tries – taking him to nine for the championship, smashing the previous record – showcased France’s attacking brilliance. The 21-year-old now has 29 tries in just 27 Tests, an astonishing strike rate that surpasses even Damian Penaud. But it was Ramos’s composure under ultimate pressure that won the title. France finished with 30 tries across five matches, equalling their own record from 2025, and scored four-try bonus points in four of their five games. Their only defeat came against England at Twickenham in round two, but they bounced back with three consecutive bonus-point victories. This is back-to-back titles for the first time since 2006-07, and France’s eighth championship triumph since 2000 – more than any other nation in that period. “We’re very proud of our performance today and the spirit we showed,” said François Cros. “We had a tough first half where Scotland put us under pressure, but we came through that and in the second half, we were able to unleash our game.” The attacking rugby France have played throughout this tournament has set new standards. They are deserved champions, winners of the greatest Six Nations finale ever witnessed.

England regain pride but is that enough?

Where has this England been? Steve Borthwick’s side scored seven tries in Paris, ran France ragged for long periods, led at half-time despite playing 10 minutes with 14 men, and came within 90 seconds of one of the great Six Nations upsets. And yet they still lost. They still finish fifth in the table with just one win from five matches. They still have suffered their worst championship campaign in 50 years. The 48-46 defeat completes England’s most disappointing Six Nations since 1976, when they last lost four matches in a single campaign. The performance was everything Borthwick had demanded – attacking ambition, forward dominance, clinical finishing from Tom Roebuck, Cadan Murley, Ollie Chessum (twice), Alex Coles, Marcus Smith and Tommy Freeman. But the result tells the real story. England’s discipline, which has plagued them all championship, cost them again. Genge’s yellow card for collapsing a maul on the stroke of half-time, coupled with a penalty try for France, turned a 27-17 lead into 24-27 at the break. France then scored 14 more points while England were down to 14 men. That’s 21 points conceded in that crucial period. “When we keep 15 men on the field we look a very good team,” admitted Borthwick afterwards, and the statistics bear him out. England have received nine yellow cards across five matches – equalling Italy’s unwanted record from 2002 – and have conceded 63 points while a player off the pitch. Borthwick questioned referee Nika Amashukeli’s communication over the penalty advantage before Bielle-Biarrey’s fourth try, insisting “the players on the pitch were told it was a penalty advantage” when it had been changed to a knock-on advantage by the TMO. But complaints about refereeing cannot mask the bigger picture. England have lost to Scotland, Ireland and Italy in this championship. They beat Wales and pushed France to the wire, but consistency remains their biggest problem. “I believe I’m the right man to lead the team forward,” insisted Borthwick when asked about his future, and this performance in Paris – despite the heartbreaking defeat – might just have earned him more time. England showed character, attacking ambition and forward power that had been missing for much of the season. “I truly believe this team is going places,” insisted captain Itoje. “We showed the spirit of this team. In sport, you don’t want to go through the experiences that we went through over the last four games. But I truly believe this team’s going places.” Pride has been restored. The performance in Paris proved England can compete with the world’s best when they get their game right. But is that enough? Fifth place, four defeats, and another summer of questions about Borthwick’s methods suggest not.

Ireland have found their edge

The Fields of Athenry rang around the Aviva Stadium. Caelan Doris lifted the Triple Crown trophy. Six tries, 43 points, a 12th consecutive victory over Scotland. Everything about Ireland’s final-day performance screamed champions. Everything except the result in Paris that mattered most. Andy Farrell’s side did everything asked of them, delivering their best performance of the championship against a Scotland side who arrived in Dublin dreaming of their own title glory. Jamie Osborne’s fourth-minute try – his fourth of the championship – set the tone for a commanding display built on set-piece dominance and ruthless finishing. Dan Sheehan’s maul try, Robert Baloucoune’s searing pace, Darragh Murray’s bonus-point score on his Six Nations debut, and Tommy O’Brien’s late brace sealed a performance that had Farrell “proud as punch.” The statistics were extraordinary: 42.9 minutes of ball-in-play time in a game for the ages, Ireland’s red zone efficiency at 4.7 points per entry, and Stuart McCloskey delivering a fifth consecutive high-quality display that puts him “in the mix for player of the tournament.” “We had a ruthless edge to us in how we defended and converted in the 22,” said Farrell. “That was the story of the game really.” Ireland finish second, three points behind France, their three-year title reign over. The opening-night defeat in Paris – when Farrell publicly questioned his team’s “intent” – proved decisive. But the response has been remarkable. From the wreckage of that 36-14 hammering, Ireland have rebuilt themselves, winning four consecutive matches with increasing conviction. The 42-21 destruction of England at Twickenham was followed by grittier wins over Italy and Wales, before this commanding display against Scotland. Ireland used 35 players across this championship – more than any previous Farrell campaign – and the depth chart has been tested extensively. Tom O’Toole’s remarkable conversion to loosehead prop, where he delivered 20 tackles in 65 minutes against Scotland, was “amazing” according to Farrell. McCloskey’s consistency has been a revelation. Robert Baloucoune was named the tournament’s Rising Player despite being 28 years old. The Triple Crown – Ireland’s 15th, and ninth of the Six Nations era – represents their fourth in five years, a remarkable achievement. “It’s unique as an Irishman to be cheering them on,” Doris had said of supporting England in Paris, and the strangeness of that moment captured everything about Ireland’s championship. The title may have gone to France, but Ireland have rediscovered the edge, the hunger, and the ruthless efficiency that makes them one of world rugby’s most dangerous sides. The 18-month journey to the 2027 World Cup is officially on track.

Same old story for Scotland

Twelve years. Twelve consecutive defeats to Ireland. Twelve times Scotland have travelled to Dublin dreaming of glory, only to return home empty-handed and heartbroken. The 43-21 defeat wasn’t a hammering – Darcy Graham, Finn Russell and Rory Darge all scored tries – but it was comprehensive enough to end any lingering title hopes and expose the familiar failings that have haunted Gregor Townsend’s tenure. Scotland haven’t won in Dublin since 2010, when Dan Parks nailed a touchline penalty at Croke Park to scuttle Ireland’s Triple Crown voyage. They haven’t beaten Ireland anywhere since 2017. And on this evidence, the wait will continue. Ireland dominated the collisions, winning the breakdown battle and establishing set-piece superiority that Scotland couldn’t match. Jamie Osborne, Dan Sheehan and Robert Baloucoune scored in a devastating first 20 minutes that established a 19-7 half-time lead. Scotland fought back in the third quarter – Russell’s brilliant solo try and Rory Darge’s finish bringing them within five points at 26-21 – but Ireland’s response was ruthless. Darragh Murray’s bonus-point try, created by the bench’s immediate impact after Andy Farrell made six changes simultaneously, restored control before Tommy O’Brien’s late brace sealed the win. “Ireland played well – they always seem to play well against us,” said Townsend afterwards, and that admission tells you everything. The statistics told the story: Ireland made 232 tackles to Scotland’s significantly fewer, controlled territory for long periods, and converted their 22-metre entries with clinical efficiency. “We’d close the gap, and then we’d let them back in through mistackles or mistakes off the kick-off. They’re all our doings,” admitted captain Sione Tuipulotu. Scotland’s attacking rugby was often brilliant – that 19-phase move for Graham’s try showcased their ambition – but they couldn’t sustain it for 80 minutes. They finish third in the table with three wins from five, which represents progress from previous campaigns. But Townsend’s record in Dublin now stands at zero wins from 11 attempts, and Scotland’s inability to beat Ireland home or away remains one of rugby’s great puzzles. “I’m proud of how we stepped up in the second half,” said Tuipulotu. “But I’m gutted. We really set our sights on coming here and getting a result, but Ireland were too good today. Ireland are deserved winners today.” Former Scotland prop Peter Wright touched on deeper issues: “Physically we compete against England and France, but for some reason, we cannot against Ireland.” The same old story continues. Scotland can beat anyone on their day – witness that stunning 50-40 victory over France last week – but they cannot beat Ireland anywhere, anytime. Until that changes, title challenges will remain dreams rather than reality.

Welsh fans can dare to dream

The wait is over. After 1,099 days, 15 consecutive Six Nations defeats, and a three-year journey through rugby’s darkest valleys, Wales finally tasted victory again. The 31-17 triumph over Italy wasn’t just a win – it was a cathartic release of three years’ worth of frustration, disappointment and pain. Aaron Wainwright’s two tries, Dewi Lake’s score from a driving maul, and Dan Edwards’s brilliant 16-point haul (including a try and an audacious drop goal) gave Wales a 31-0 lead that had the Principality Stadium shaking with joy. “It’s everything for us,” said captain Lake afterwards, his voice hoarse with emotion, and you believed every word. This was Wales’s first Six Nations home win since February 2022 – 1,491 days ago – when they beat Scotland. It was their first championship victory of any kind since beating Italy in Rome on 11 March 2023. The relief was palpable. “We hope that we have restored some faith in the jersey and into what this group can do,” added Lake, and the performance suggested genuine progress under Steve Tandy’s guidance. The defensive intensity that had been building through narrow defeats to Scotland and Ireland was maintained throughout. The set-piece dominance – three tries from driving lineouts in the first half – showcased growing power and precision. Edwards, who had been dropped after the France game for Sam Costelow, responded with his finest performance in a Wales shirt, darting through a gaping hole for the bonus-point try before landing that stunning drop goal from 40 metres. “You’re probably thinking ‘what are you doing?’ And then he absolutely buries it,” laughed Tandy afterwards. “I am overwhelmed with pride by what this group delivered,” said Tandy, visibly emotional. “I’ve always said it’s never been a question of desire, physicality or work ethic in this group. It’s just getting them to understand how far they can go with the work ethic and physically they’ve got.” Italy fought back with tries from Tommaso Di Bartolomeo, Tommaso Allan and Paolo Garbisi, but Wales held firm, defending with the hunger and hardness that had been missing in those opening hammerings by England and France. They still finish with the wooden spoon – their third consecutive bottom-placed finish. But unlike the whitewashes of previous years, this campaign ended with a win, with pride restored, and with belief returning. “This group has gone through a lot of emotionally tough things recently, whether that is on the field or off it,” reflected Lake, and that context makes this victory all the more significant. Welsh rugby remains in crisis off the field, with the WRU facing an extraordinary general meeting and existential questions about professional structures. But on the field, Tandy has given Wales something to build on. The foundations are there. The forward pack dominated Italy physically. Young players like Eddie James and Ellis Mee have emerged as genuine Test-quality performers. The 1,099-day nightmare is over. Welsh fans can dare to dream again.

A match too far for Italy

Italy arrived in Cardiff seeking to create history. Victories over Scotland and England had put them on the brink of something never achieved before – three wins in a single Six Nations campaign. But the brave Azzurri, who had given everything to shock England seven days earlier, simply had nothing left in the tank. The 31-17 defeat was comprehensive, painful, and perhaps inevitable after the emotional and physical toll of their historic win in Rome. Gonzalo Quesada’s side looked flat from the opening exchanges, making mistakes in defence they hadn’t made all tournament, losing collisions they’d been winning for weeks, and struggling to find the rhythm that had made them such compelling viewing. Wales raced to a 21-0 half-time lead through Wainwright’s brace and Lake’s try, all from dominant set-piece play. By the time Edwards scored early in the second half to make it 31-0, Italy’s dreams were dust. “Their heart and physicality was bigger than ours in the first half,” admitted Quesada afterwards. “We saw a big improvement from Wales against Ireland and we knew they had the opportunity to put everything out there to get victory. It was a big game from Wales and they never gave up.” Italy did fight back with three second-half tries – and had two more ruled out by the TMO – but the damage had been done. The day of recovery advantage Wales enjoyed proved significant, but there were deeper issues at play. “We used many energies in a long tournament,” reflected captain Michele Lamaro. “The meta that hurts most is the one at the start of the second half because it made our hopes of getting back into the match vacillate.” The defeat means Italy finish fourth in the table with two wins from five, equalling their best-ever championship performance but falling short of the unprecedented third victory that would have represented genuine progress. Still, this was a tournament that exceeded expectations. Victories over Scotland and England – particularly that first-ever triumph against the English in Rome – represented seismic moments for Italian rugby. Tommaso Menoncello, Paolo Garbisi and Ange Capuozzo all showed flashes of world-class ability. But consistency remains the challenge. Italy were brilliant against England, poor against Wales, and somewhere in between against everyone else. “We are a good squad, in a true process of growth,” said Quesada. “We must do attention to what we say, to how we communicate: Wales has a beautiful squad, a quality staff, and all matches in the Six Nations are tough.” For Italy, one match too far. But also, a championship that showed how far they’ve come – and how far they still have to go. Sonnet 4.5Claude is AI and can make mistakes. Please double-check responses.

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