In the first semi-final on Friday, the 2nd-seeded Blues host the 3rd-seeded Brumbies at their Eden Park fortress in Auckland. The Brumbies are the lone Australian side remaining and face a considerable task to topple the Blues on the road and end a 10-year losing streak in New Zealand. They came agonizingly close two years ago, going down 20-19, and will be determined to go one step further.
Tuipulotu absence a major blow for Blues
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In a major setback, the Blues will be without inspirational captain, and All Blacks lock Patrick Tuipulotu, who has been ruled out for the season with a torn MCL in his knee suffered in their 35-6 quarter-final win over the Fijian Drua. Tuipulotu has been in career-best form, and his leadership and physicality will be sorely missed. Sam Darry returns from concussion protocols to partner Josh Beehre in the second row. The Blues have received a boost with confirmation that All Blacks loose forward Akira Ioane has overcome a calf strain and is fit to start in the six jersey. Ioane has been in stellar form, and his powerful ball-carrying will be crucial.The Blues have enviable depth with the likes of Adrian Choat to call on, but the loss of Tuipulotu’s presence is significant.
BLUES (1-15): Ofa Tu’ungafasi, Ricky Riccitelli, Marcel Renata, Sam Darry, Josh Beehre, Akira Ioane, Dalton Papali’i (c), Hoskins Sotutu, Finlay Christie, Harry Plummer, Caleb Clarke, AJ Lam, Rieko Ioane, Mark Tele’a, Stephen Perofeta
RESERVES: Kurt Eklund, Joshua Fusitu’a, Angus Ta’avao, James Thompson, Adrian Choat, Taufa Funaki, Corey Evans, Cole Forbes
Slipper return boosts Brumbies
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The Brumbies are boosted by the return of 121-test veteran Wallabies prop James Slipper, who has overcome a calf complaint. His experience, nous and scrummaging prowess will be vital against a formidable All Blacks front row of Ofa Tu’ungafasi, Ricky Riccitelli and Marcel Renata. The Brumbies scrum struggled in Slipper’s absence in the quarter-final, with replacement Harry Vella conceding four scrum penalties in the first 22 minutes. Brumbies coach Stephen Larkham has selected a 6-2 split on the bench to combat the Blues’ big, powerful pack. The Brumbies were embarrassed 46-7 in their last visit to Eden Park in April and will be desperate to atone.
BRUMBIES (1-15): James Slipper, Billy Pollard, Allan Alaalatoa (c), Darcy Swain, Tom Hooper, Rob Valetini, Rory Scott, Charlie Cale, Ryan Lonergan, Noah Lolesio, Corey Toole, Tamati Tua, Len Ikitau, Andy Muirhead, Tom Wright
RESERVES: Liam Bowron, Rhys van Nek, Sosefo Kautai, Nick Frost, Jahrome Brown, Luke Reimer, Harrison Goddard, Ollie Sapsford
Key Battles
The scrum battle between veterans James Slipper and Ofa Tu’ungafasi could set the tone for the match. Marcel Renata will look to target Slipper and Pollard’s connection to establish early dominance. The clash between dynamic opensides Dalton Papali’i and Rory Scott at the breakdown will be pivotal. Papali’i was immense in the Blues’ 46-7 win in April, forcing multiple turnovers. Scott’s breakdown presence was vital in the Brumbies’ upset win over the Hurricanes and he will need to nullify Papali’i’s influence.
The midfield sees a mouth-watering match-up between the silky skills of Rieko Ioane and the direct running of bulldozing youngster Tamati Tua. Ioane is a proven match-winner and the Brumbies will need to limit his involvement. Out wide, Corey Toole’s blistering pace will be marked by the power and fend of Mark Telea in an absorbing clash of styles.
At number eight, Hoskins Sotutu was a constant threat in the last match-up, using his big frame and footwork to bust the line and offload. His opposite, Charlie Cale, the Brumbies’ breakout star this season, was well-contained in April but has the athleticism to be a menace if given space.
Contrasting styles
The Blues’ patient, direct and structured style, anchored around their dominant set piece and powerful ball carriers, will be tested by the Brumbies’ fast-paced, expansive game plan centred around the kicking games of young halves Noah Lolesio and Ryan Lonergan and the speed and footwork of outside backs Tom Wright, Andy Muirhead and Corey Toole. The Brumbies have worked hard on their maul defence and bulked up their bench to handle the Blues juggernaut.
Prediction
The Brumbies are riding a seven-game winning streak and are determined to end their Eden Park hoodoo. They’ve been written off, but the loss of Tuipulotu offers a chink in the Blues’ armour. However, with a raucous home crowd behind them and supreme depth, the Blues should be able to rely on fellow All Blacks Hoskins Sotutu, Dalton Papali’i, Rieko Ioane and Caleb Clarke to lead the way. The Aucklanders should have just enough firepower and big-game experience to prevail in a tight contest and set up a mouth-watering all-New Zealand final against either the Hurricanes or Chiefs.